Analysis Effectiveness Policy Control Inflation during Christmas and New Year Momentum New 2025 in Tegal City

Abstrak

This study aims to analyze the effectiveness of inflation control policies during the Christmas and New Year (Nataru) 2025 period in Tegal City, with a focus on identifying the main commodities contributing to inflation and formulating mitigation strategies through the 4K approach. The study uses a quantitative descriptive method utilizing secondary data sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and the Bank Indonesia Tegal Representative Office. The analysis was conducted by comparing year-on-year (yoy) and month-to-month (mtm) inflation data in the pre-Nataru (November 2025) and Nataru (December 2025) periods. The results show that inflationary pressures during the Nataru period were dominated by volatile food and administered prices. On a mtm basis, the main commodities contributing to inflation included cayenne pepper, broiler chicken, gold jewelry, and broiler chicken eggs. Meanwhile, on a yoy basis, the commodities with the largest contributions included gold jewelry, rice, broiler chicken, cayenne pepper, as well as cigarettes and educational services. This condition indicates pressure from the seasonal demand side and potential supply and distribution disruptions. Therefore, optimizing the role of the Regional Inflation Control Team (TPID) through strengthened coordination, supply stabilization, inter-regional cooperation, and policy communication is a strategic step in maintaining price stability. This research emphasizes the importance of synergy between regional and national policies to ensure inflation remains under control and support regional economic resilience.